منابع مشابه
Wind Power and Electric Load Forecasting
As renewable energy increasingly integrates into the electric power system, electric load forecasting and renewable energy power generation forecasting become more important. In this project, ARIMA and NARX are applied to build load forecasting model focusing on improving statistical and computational efficiency without losing accuracy. ARIMA turns out to be better for short term forecasting wh...
متن کاملFuzzy Load Forecasting of Electric Power System
In order to efficiently improve the prediction accuracy, two load forecasting model based on fuzzy theory are presented, which are fuzzy clustering model and improved fuzzy regression analysis model .The method of fuzzy clustering is used to divide the area by the similar feature of load increasing. The new division is promising to improve the result of evident degree of clustering index to pow...
متن کاملEnsembling Approaches to Hierarchical Electric Load Forecasting
Short term electrical load forecasting is critical in ensuring reliability and operational efficiency for electrical systems. With an influx of monitoring data and the growing technical complexity of the grid, there is a great interest and need for accurate forecasting in electricity planning. Our project uses a curated electric load dataset from Kaggle and evaluates the performance of several ...
متن کاملPreprints, 16th AMS Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting Phoenix, Arizona, 11-16 January 1998, J24-J27 J2.4 VALUE OF WEATHER FORECASTS FOR ELECTRIC UTILITY LOAD FORECASTING
Weather forecasts can be evaluated in a variety of ways. Murphy (1993) defined three kinds of forecast “goodness”: consistency, quality, and value. Consistency refers to the relationship between the forecasts and the “true beliefs” of the forecaster, quality refers to the relationship between the forecasts and weather events, and value refers to the relationship between the forecasts and the be...
متن کاملShort - term thermal and electric load forecasting in buildings
Increasing environmental awareness and energy costs encourage the increase of the contribution of renewable energy sources (RES) to the energy supply of buildings. However, the integration of RES and energy storage systems introduces significant challenges for the energy management system (EMS) of complex building energy systems. An energy management strategy based on fixed control rules may fa...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Wind Engineers, JAWE
سال: 2008
ISSN: 1883-8413,0912-1935
DOI: 10.5359/jawe.2008.42